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  Industry Trends

Trends

February

 

NATS reports the number of flights it handled in August, 2007, increased from 220,408 to 230,379, or 4.5%, compared to the same month in 2006. Transatlantic arrivals and departures increased year-on-year by 6.7% while overall oceanic center traffic increased by 6.8%.  02-24-2008.

Adam Aircraft filed Chapter 7 bankruptcy. The U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Colorado has appointed a trustee to liquidate the company's assets, which include the type certificate for the A500 piston twin, several A500s in various stages of production, and three flying A700 VLJs (very light jets) that Adam was using for certification trials.  02-24-2008.

The Association of European Airlines reports its member's on-time performance on intra-European flights deteriorated for the fourth successive year in 2007.  Twenty-two-point-seven percent of these departures were delayed by more than 15 minutes, up from 22.3% in 2006.  As for airports, the highest incidence of delay was recorded at London Heathrow (35.5%), followed by London-Gatwick, Rome, Dublin and Paris Charles de Gaulle.  Heathrow was top of the list also in 2006, when Gatwick was in third place and CDG was in fourth. At the other end of the scale, the four airports recording the lowest level of delay were the same – in the same order – in both years, with Brussels recording a delay rate of 16.9% in 2007, followed by Dusseldorf, Vienna and Oslo. 02-24-2008.

According to new analysis from Frost & Sullivan, the top 20 participants in the Asia-Pacific ATC equipment market had revenues of $1.93 billion in 2006 and should reach $2.91 billion in 2010.  02-24-2008.

Airbus expects roughly 700 orders for new jetliners this year, down from 1,341 in 2007.  Airbus officials expect to book 30 orders for its 380 in 2008, and they also note that the company has a backlog of 3,600 jetliners.   02-24-2008.

Cessna delivered 160 new aircraft into the Asia-Pacific region in 2007, an increase of more than 35% over 2006.  02-24-2008.

The Association of European Airlines reported that passenger boardings for its member airlines climbed 4.1% to 358 million in 2007, up from 344 million in 2006.  In passenger-kilometers increase was 5.1%, and 4.2% in terms of seat-kilometers. The airfreight market for AEA carriers grew by 2.7% in 2007. 02-24-2008.

The U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) said its reporting airlines carried 59.9 million scheduled domestic and international passengers in November 2007, 0.7% fewer than in November 2006. The number of domestic passengers decreased 1.5% in November from a year earlier while international passengers increased 5.4%.

During the first 11 months of 2007, the airlines carried 22.6 million more total system passengers than during the first 11 months of 2006.  The airlines carried 3.1% more domestic passengers and 4.6% more international passengers during the first 11 months of 2007 than during the same period in 2006.

Flights Operated

Reporting U.S. carriers operated 9.7 million domestic and international flights in the first 11 months of 2007, 0.7% more than were operated during the same period in 2006.   Domestic flights increased 0.7% from the previous year while international flights were up 0.6%.

In November, the airlines operated 821,800 scheduled domestic and international flights, down 4.1% from the number of flights operated in November 2006.  The number of domestic flights decreased 4.4% in November from a year earlier while international flights increased 4.6%.

System Comparisons

In other total system comparisons from the first 11 months of 2006 to the first 11 months of 2007 and from November 2006 to November 2007:

  • RPMs (revenue passenger miles) were up 3.8%.  In November, RPMs were up 2.4%.

  • ASMs (available seat-miles) were up 2.8%. In November, ASMs were up 2.3%.

  • Passenger load factor was up 0.9 load factor points to 80.3%. In November, load factor was unchanged at 77.9 percent.

Domestic

The airlines carried 623.9 million scheduled domestic passengers during the first 11 months of 2007, up 3.1% from the 604.9 million carried during the same period in 2006. The passengers were carried on 9.0 million flights, up 0.7% from the number of flights operated in 2006.

In November 2007, the airlines carried 53.1 million scheduled domestic passengers, down 1.5% from the passengers carried during November 2006. The passengers were carried on 757,600 flights, down 4.4% from the 792,400 flights operated in November 2006.

RPMs were up 3.1%. In November, domestic RPMs were up 0.3%.

  • ASMs were up 1.9%.  In November, domestic ASMs were up 0.6 percent.

  • Passenger load factor was up 0.9 load factor points to 80.3%, In November, load factor was down 0.2 load factor points to 77.9%.%.

  • International

    The airlines carried 82.8 million scheduled international passengers during the first 11 months of 2007, up 4.6% from the 79.1 million carried during the same period in 2006. The passengers were carried on 782,700 flights, up 0.6% from the 778,200 flights operated in 2006.

    In November, the airlines carried 6.8 million scheduled international passengers, up 5.4% from the passengers carried during November 2006. The passengers were carried on 64,200 flights, down 0.2% from the 64,300 flights operated in November 2006.

    RPMs were up 6.2%. In November, international RPMs were up 8.1%.

  • ASMs were up 5.5%. In November, international ASMs were up 7.1%.

  • Passenger load factor was up 0.5 load factor points to 80.1%, International load factor was up 0.6 load factor points to 78.3% in November.

  • ·    Additional information can be found on the BTS Website.  02-24-2008.

     

    Embraer delivered 36 Legacy 600 executive jets in 2007, a 33% increase over 2006 and 80% over 2005. 02-14-2008.

    The General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA) announced that the 2007 year-end figures showed record industry billings totaling $21.9 billion, a 16.5% from 2006.  Year-end, worldwide shipments of general aviation airplanes totaled 4,272 units, the most in more than a quarter century and up 5.4% over 2006's total of 4,053 units. The piston airplane segment was down 2.9% in 2007, but still posted the second best year in over two decades. Total units decreased from 2,755 in 2006 to 2,675 in 2007.  Shipments of turboprops increased 11.4%, up from 412 units in 2006 to 459 units in 2007.  Business jet shipments reached an all-time high of 1,138 units, up 28.4 percent over last year's figure of 886 airplanes.  02-14-2008.

    Hawker Beechcraft delivered 120 business airplanes in the fourth quarter of 2007, up from 94 aircraft shipped in the last quarter of 2006. Three-hundred nineteen business jets and turboprops were delivered throughout 2007, a 13.9% increase from 280 business aircraft shipped in 2006. (Last year's deliveries include shipments by the company's predecessor, Raytheon Aircraft, in the first quarter.)  The company delivered 46 King Air C90GT/C90GTis last year, compared to 52 C90s in 2006; 58 King Air 200/200GTs, 18 more than in 2006; 53 King Air 350s, compared to 47 in 2006; 54 Premier IAs, compared to 23 in 2006; 41 Hawker 400XPs, compared to 53; 35 Hawker 800XP/850XPs, compared to 82; and 32 Hawker 900XPs, a new model added last year. 02-14-2008.

    Airbus Sees Demand for 24,300 new Aircraft over Next 20 Years  02-12-2008.

     

    The 20 airlines reporting on-time performance with the he U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), recorded an on-time arrival rate of 73.4% in 2007, down from their 75.4% mark in 2006.  The reporting carriers posted a 64.3% on-time arrival record in December, down from both December 2006's 70.8% and November 2007's 80.0% marks.

    Causes of Flight Delays

    In December, the carriers reported that 10.41% of their flights were delayed by aviation system delays, compared to 6.77% in November; 10.89% by late-arriving aircraft, compared to 6.07% in November; 9.15% by factors within the airline's control, such as maintenance or crew problems, compared to 5.39% in November; 1.38% by extreme weather, compared to 0.51% in November; and 0.08% for security reasons, compared to 0.04% in November.

    (Weather is a factor in both the extreme-weather category and the aviation-system category.  This includes delays due to the re-routing of flights by the FAA in consultation with the carriers involved.  Weather is also a factor in delays attributed to late-arriving aircraft, although airlines do not report specific causes in that category.  BTS data also show the percentage of late flights delayed by weather, including those reported in either the category of extreme weather or included in National Aviation System delays.)

    In December, 43.57% of late flights were delayed by weather, up 12.55% from December 2006, when 38.71% of late flights were delayed by weather, and up 15.20% from November when 37.82% of late flights were delayed by weather.

    Flight Cancellations

    In December, the carriers canceled 3.5% of their scheduled domestic flights, up from both December 2006's 3.0% rate and November 2007's 1.0% mark.

    Detailed information on flight delays and their causes is available at http://www.bts.gov.  02-06-2008.

    Nav Canada's traffic in November and December increased by an average of 6.2% and 5.7%, respectively, compared to the same months in 2006.  Fiscal year-to-date traffic was 5.4% higher than in fiscal year 2007.  Nav Canada's fiscal year runs from September 1 to August 31.  02-06-2008.

    BAE Systems Regional Aircraftaft sold 22 Jetstream 41s during 2007, more than double the total sold in 2006.  02-06-2008.

    Boeing recorded an 84% increase in net income to $4.1 billion in 2007 compared to 2006, on revenues that rose 8% to $66.4 billion.  Its backlog reached a record $327 billion, up 31% on 2006. The company now expects to deliver 480 aircraft this year compared with earlier forecasts of 490.  The company booked 520 gross aircraft orders during the fourth quarter of 2007, and a record 1,423 during the year.  02-06-2008.

    Bombardier delivered 156 business jets in the nine months that ended on October 31, 2007, 13 more than the same period in the previous year.  The company expects to deliver about 230 business jets in the fiscal year that ended on January 31, 2008.  02-06-2008.

    Airports participating in the Airport Council International's monthly "Flash" reports indicate that global passenger traffic rose by 5.6% in 2007, which is in line with the ACI forecast for the year. Freight growth, on the other hand was only 3%, substantially below the anticipated 6% market expansion.  Airports worldwide maintained a steady 4% increase in overall traffic for December 2007 compared to December 2006.  02-06-2008.
     
     
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